Casey Mittelstadt vs Evan Rodrigues
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 59.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
47.9% (637)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.9% (71)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.3% (67)
+62.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +62.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Home
59.3% (91)
48.3% (429)
Away
42.5% (80)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
P1
48.8%
48.3%
P2
49.1%
46.9%
P3
56.7%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |