Casey Mittelstadt vs Evan Rodrigues
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.9%). Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 61.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 60.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
1
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
1
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
2
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
46.2% (2,883)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
45.0% (298)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
42.9% (219)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Home
46.7% (2,316)
47.1% (1,820)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
P1
46.8%
46.9%
P2
46.1%
46.1%
P3
44.0%
44.6%
OT
36.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |