Casey Mittelstadt vs Evan Rodrigues
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.2% vs 45.0%). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Rodrigues 46.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 52.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 59.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
45.6% (250)
-0.9%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
40.0% (30)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Home
46.0% (491)
46.5% (142)
Away
42.4% (512)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
P1
44.0%
42.9%
P2
46.4%
50.0%
P3
41.9%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |