Casey Mittelstadt vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Kuznetsov 42.8% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 87.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 72.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Last 5: Mittelstadt 4-1 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
41.4% (471)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
44.4% (18)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kuznetsov is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Home
47.3% (224)
43.0% (223)
Away
50.7% (217)
40.0% (270)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
P1
51.8%
37.3%
P2
51.0%
40.2%
P3
44.9%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |