Casey Mittelstadt vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Kuznetsov 44.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 52.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 53.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
4
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
1
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
2
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
43.9% (8,296)
+1.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
49.4% (633)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
38.2% (272)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Home
46.7% (2,316)
44.8% (4,622)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
43.4% (4,579)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
P1
46.8%
43.6%
P2
46.1%
45.8%
P3
44.0%
42.8%
OT
36.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 3, 2023 | OT | 02:21 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 03:29 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |