Casey Mittelstadt vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 58.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Last 6: Mittelstadt 2-4 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
3
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
47.7% (927)
-2.4%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
53.5% (71)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
39.4% (71)
+1.2%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
Home
45.1% (366)
45.9% (534)
Away
46.8% (370)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kuznetsov
P1
41.1%
44.8%
P2
51.1%
52.1%
P3
45.9%
44.5%
OT
30.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 3, 2023 | OT | 02:21 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |