Casey Mittelstadt vs Jeff Carter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 29-19 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 78.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 91.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 87.3%
12.7%
87.3%
Mittelstadt
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
19
(48 meetings)
29
19
Mittelstadt
Carter
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
15
6
Mittelstadt
Carter
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
9
Mittelstadt
Carter
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
4
Mittelstadt
Carter
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
53.3% (8,728)
-8.3%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
57.3% (1,554)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
46.3% (1,087)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carter
Home
46.7% (2,316)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carter
P1
46.8%
53.6%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
44.0%
53.1%
OT
36.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | OT | 00:49 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |