Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Carter 56.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 74.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 75.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Mittelstadt
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Mittelstadt
Carter
Last 9: Mittelstadt 6-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Mittelstadt
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
1
Mittelstadt
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
57.9% (885)
-12.0%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
61.7% (133)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
45.4% (119)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carter
Home
47.2% (193)
58.2% (543)
Away
42.9% (259)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carter
P1
49.0%
57.5%
P2
45.7%
57.1%
P3
38.8%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | OT | 00:49 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |