Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Carter 60.1% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 90.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 80.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Mittelstadt
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Mittelstadt
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Mittelstadt
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
65.6% (262)
-19.2%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
68.3% (63)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
50.5% (99)
-0.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carter
Home
47.7% (583)
64.3% (207)
Away
46.4% (541)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carter
P1
50.0%
65.3%
P2
46.2%
60.1%
P3
45.5%
63.8%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |