Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.7%). Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Carter 49.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 59.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Mittelstadt
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Mittelstadt
Carter
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
8
4
Mittelstadt
Carter
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
5
Mittelstadt
Carter
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
49.6% (242)
-3.5%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
59.1% (22)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
40.0% (50)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Mittelstadt is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carter
Home
47.3% (224)
48.6% (173)
Away
50.7% (217)
48.9% (141)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carter
P1
51.8%
52.1%
P2
51.0%
47.8%
P3
44.9%
46.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |