Who wins more faceoffs, Casey Mittelstadt or Justin Dowling?

Casey Mittelstadt leads the head-to-head 5-2 across 7 faceoffs.

What is Casey Mittelstadt's faceoff record against Justin Dowling?

Casey Mittelstadt is 5-2 against Justin Dowling in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 4-0, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 1-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Casey Mittelstadt or Justin Dowling?

Justin Dowling is the predicted winner with a 61.5% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Casey Mittelstadt vs Justin Dowling

Casey MittelstadtL vs Justin DowlingL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Justin Dowling holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Dowling 48.9% (-3.3%)

H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Dowling 52.9%

Defensive zone Dowling 79.1%

Neutral zone Dowling 70.0%

Result Justin Dowling favored at 61.5%

38.5%

61.5%

Mittelstadt Dowling

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 2 (7 meetings)

Mittelstadt Dowling

Last 7: Mittelstadt 5-2 Dowling

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Mittelstadt

Mittelstadt Dowling

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Dowling

Mittelstadt Dowling

1 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Mittelstadt Dowling

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Mittelstadt

Dowling

Edge

Even Strength

45.0% (3,922)

49.4% (652)

-4.4%

Power Play

49.7% (666)

40.6% (32)

+9.1%

Penalty Kill

37.5% (96)

33.3% (9)

+4.2%

On power play, Mittelstadt has a +9.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Dowling shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).

Mittelstadt shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).

Home / Away

Mittelstadt

Dowling

Home

46.7% (2,316)

48.2% (301)

Away

44.3% (2,368)

49.2% (392)

By Period

Mittelstadt

Dowling

46.8%

47.6%

46.1%

50.4%

44.0%

48.3%

Final 5 min

43.6%

52.2%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Mittelstadt

42.0%▼

50.5%

45.5%

Dowling

54.0%▲

49.5%

48.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 26, 2025	3	18:36	Offensive	Casey Mittelstadt
Feb 26, 2025	3	18:18	Neutral	Casey Mittelstadt
Feb 26, 2025	3	05:09	Defensive	Justin Dowling
Feb 26, 2025	3	04:59	Offensive	Casey Mittelstadt
Feb 26, 2025	1	19:04	Neutral	Justin Dowling
Dec 8, 2024	2	10:27	Offensive	Casey Mittelstadt
Dec 8, 2024	1	13:09	Offensive	Casey Mittelstadt

Mittelstadt's Profile | Dowling's Profile