Casey Mittelstadt vs Leo Carlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.2%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 56.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 58.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
45.5% (661)
+4.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
46.3% (82)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (84)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Home
59.3% (91)
42.5% (428)
Away
42.5% (80)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
P1
48.8%
45.4%
P2
49.1%
39.7%
P3
56.7%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%