Casey Mittelstadt vs Leo Carlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Carlsson 41.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 67.8%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 69.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
4
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
3
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
41.1% (1,716)
+3.9%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
42.8% (152)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
35.3% (116)
+2.2%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carlsson is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Home
46.8% (2,314)
42.9% (956)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
39.1% (1,028)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
P1
46.7%
44.2%
P2
46.2%
35.8%
P3
44.0%
43.5%
OT
38.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |