Casey Mittelstadt vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 60.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 72.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 69.8%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Last 10: Mittelstadt 8-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
3
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
5
6
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
50.4% (11,581)
-5.4%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
52.3% (1,895)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
47.0% (889)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Home
46.8% (2,314)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
P1
46.7%
50.1%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
44.0%
51.6%
OT
38.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |