Casey Mittelstadt vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 53.3%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 73.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 73.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
51.4% (473)
-6.1%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
39.5% (38)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
33.3% (3)
+7.3%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Home
45.1% (366)
53.6% (278)
Away
46.8% (370)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
P1
41.1%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
56.0%
P3
45.9%
43.5%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |