Casey Mittelstadt vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 73.9%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 57.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.0%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Last 5: Mittelstadt 4-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
47.0% (541)
-1.1%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
47.4% (95)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
15.4% (13)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
Home
47.2% (193)
48.5% (328)
Away
42.9% (259)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backstrom
P1
49.0%
44.8%
P2
45.7%
42.9%
P3
38.8%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |