Casey Mittelstadt vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 53.9%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 50.5%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 52.0%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
37.7% (154)
+12.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
42.9% (14)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
30.0% (10)
+70.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Home
59.3% (91)
37.4% (91)
Away
42.5% (80)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
P1
48.8%
38.9%
P2
49.1%
31.5%
P3
56.7%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |