Casey Mittelstadt vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 78.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
1
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
33.7% (895)
+11.3%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
44.2% (52)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
24.3% (37)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Home
46.7% (2,316)
34.7% (490)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
P1
46.8%
34.4%
P2
46.1%
33.7%
P3
44.0%
33.4%
OT
36.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |