Casey Mittelstadt vs Pavel Zacha

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Zacha 51.9% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 63.7%
Defensive zone Zacha 60.1%
Neutral zone Zacha 56.7%
Result Pavel Zacha favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Mittelstadt Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
53.7% (497)
-2.1%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
54.8% (84)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.5% (64)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +62.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
60.7% (89)
51.0% (335)
Away
43.1% (65)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
46.3%
60.0%
P2
52.9%
48.1%
P3
58.6%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%
53.0%
53.2%
Zacha
48.0%
51.0%
52.2%