Casey Mittelstadt vs Pavel Zacha
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Zacha 49.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 68.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 61.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
0
Mittelstadt
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Mittelstadt
Zacha
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
5
Mittelstadt
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
48.8% (4,953)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
55.8% (788)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
42.0% (547)
-4.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,816).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
46.8% (2,314)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
46.7%
49.9%
P2
46.2%
49.1%
P3
44.0%
47.9%
OT
38.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |