Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Zacha 50.1% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Mittelstadt
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
48.0% (296)
-2.1%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
61.0% (59)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
50.0% (22)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
47.2% (193)
48.9% (223)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
49.0%
47.9%
P2
45.7%
48.3%
P3
38.8%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%