Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.7% vs Zacha 44.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Last 6: Mittelstadt 4-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Mittelstadt
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (166)
42.8% (514)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
51.9% (79)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
36.1% (61)
-2.8%
On even strength, Mittelstadt has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
44.9% (78)
45.0% (289)
Away
47.7% (107)
41.9% (365)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
58.5%
47.4%
P2
38.5%
43.8%
P3
41.8%
37.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |