Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Strome 44.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 56.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Mittelstadt
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Mittelstadt
Strome
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
6
Mittelstadt
Strome
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
4
Mittelstadt
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
3
Mittelstadt
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
41.9% (626)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
50.0% (76)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
51.2% (41)
-1.2%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mittelstadt is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Strome is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Strome
Home
47.3% (224)
40.8% (363)
Away
50.7% (217)
45.5% (380)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Strome
P1
51.8%
43.0%
P2
51.0%
41.3%
P3
44.9%
45.9%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 3, 2021 | OT | 04:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |