Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Strome 42.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 54.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Mittelstadt
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Mittelstadt
Strome
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
3
Mittelstadt
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Mittelstadt
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
41.2% (1,040)
+3.5%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
43.0% (151)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.4% (35)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Strome
Home
46.0% (491)
40.1% (581)
Away
42.4% (512)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Strome
P1
44.0%
41.4%
P2
46.4%
42.9%
P3
41.9%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |