Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Strome 46.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 54.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Mittelstadt
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Mittelstadt
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
46.4% (371)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
43.3% (97)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Strome
Home
47.7% (583)
47.6% (225)
Away
46.4% (541)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Strome
P1
50.0%
45.4%
P2
46.2%
47.6%
P3
45.5%
45.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |