Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Gagner 47.5% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 69.3%
Defensive zone
Gagner 75.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 54.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Mittelstadt
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.3% (158)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
66.7% (36)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
33.6% (110)
-11.4%
On power play, Gagner has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gagner
Home
47.2% (193)
53.2% (154)
Away
42.9% (259)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gagner
P1
49.0%
35.6%
P2
45.7%
52.7%
P3
38.8%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%