Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Gagner 52.4% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 58.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Mittelstadt
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Mittelstadt
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
76.5% (17)
-30.1%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
28.6% (7)
+21.7%
On even strength, Gagner has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gagner
Home
47.7% (583)
75.0% (16)
Away
46.4% (541)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gagner
P1
50.0%
25.0%
P2
46.2%
64.3%
P3
45.5%
83.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |