Casey Mittelstadt vs Shane Wright
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.2% vs 44.5%). Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Wright 45.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.5%
Defensive zone
Wright 54.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 55.0%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Mittelstadt
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Mittelstadt
Wright
Last 9: Mittelstadt 3-6 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Mittelstadt
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
4
Mittelstadt
Wright
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
43.9% (758)
+0.8%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
50.7% (67)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
40.0% (5)
+0.0%
On power play, Wright has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Wright
Home
46.0% (491)
46.3% (406)
Away
42.4% (512)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Wright
P1
44.0%
46.8%
P2
46.4%
42.6%
P3
41.9%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |