Casey Mittelstadt vs Shane Wright
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Wright 43.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 59.8%
Defensive zone
Wright 60.2%
Neutral zone
Wright 61.4%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Mittelstadt
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Mittelstadt
Wright
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Mittelstadt
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
4
Mittelstadt
Wright
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Mittelstadt
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
42.6% (1,318)
+2.4%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
45.8% (131)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
33.3% (6)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Wright
Home
46.7% (2,316)
44.2% (746)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Wright
P1
46.8%
44.4%
P2
46.1%
40.7%
P3
44.0%
44.0%
OT
36.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |