Casey Mittelstadt vs Vinni Lettieri
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vinni Lettieri holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lettieri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Lettieri 49.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.9%
Defensive zone
Lettieri 64.5%
Neutral zone
Lettieri 50.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Last 6: Mittelstadt 3-3 Lettieri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lettieri
1
2
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lettieri
0
1
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
48.6% (74)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
66.7% (3)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
On power play, Lettieri has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lettieri shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lettieri is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Home
47.7% (583)
42.9% (28)
Away
46.4% (541)
52.7% (55)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
P1
50.0%
42.9%
P2
46.2%
59.1%
P3
45.5%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Lettieri
46.0%▼
49.1%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Vinni Lettieri |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Vinni Lettieri |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Vinni Lettieri |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |