Casey Mittelstadt vs Vinni Lettieri
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vinni Lettieri holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lettieri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Lettieri 49.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.0%
Defensive zone
Lettieri 64.8%
Neutral zone
Lettieri 51.0%
Result
Vinni Lettieri favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Last 6: Mittelstadt 3-3 Lettieri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lettieri
1
2
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lettieri
0
1
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
47.9% (146)
-2.9%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
71.4% (7)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.0% (6)
-12.5%
On power play, Lettieri has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lettieri shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lettieri is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
Home
46.7% (2,316)
48.3% (60)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
49.5% (99)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Lettieri
P1
46.8%
37.5%
P2
46.1%
66.0%
P3
44.0%
44.9%
OT
36.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Lettieri
46.0%▼
49.1%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Vinni Lettieri |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Vinni Lettieri |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Vinni Lettieri |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |