Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Smith 43.7% (+22.9%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Mittelstadt
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
31.6% (38)
+18.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
0.0% (4)
+54.8%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Smith is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Smith
Home
59.3% (91)
23.5% (17)
Away
42.5% (80)
32.0% (25)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Smith
P1
48.8%
25.0%
P2
49.1%
33.3%
P3
56.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
28.6%