Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +22.5% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Larkin 52.1% (-22.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Paquette
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
51.8% (903)
-21.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.0% (225)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
47.4% (76)
-20.7%
On power play, Paquette has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Paquette
Larkin
Home
28.1% (32)
55.6% (662)
Away
30.6% (72)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Paquette
Larkin
P1
36.4%
49.9%
P2
27.9%
52.7%
P3
25.0%
53.0%
Final 5 min
30.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%