Cedric Paquette vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Larkin 52.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 73.1%
Neutral zone
Paquette 58.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Paquette
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Paquette
Larkin
Last 10: Paquette 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
6
Paquette
Larkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
3
Paquette
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
3
Paquette
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
51.7% (9,019)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
58.5% (2,125)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
50.2% (1,122)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Paquette
Larkin
Home
50.2% (1,541)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Paquette
Larkin
P1
49.1%
52.7%
P2
49.9%
53.1%
P3
47.5%
52.1%
OT
20.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |