Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs Roy 50.9% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 77.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 59.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Paquette
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paquette
Roy
Last 5: Paquette 2-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Paquette
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Paquette
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (474)
60.0% (10)
-13.4%
On even strength, Roy has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Paquette is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Paquette shoots left. Roy is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Paquette
Roy
Home
50.2% (233)
60.0% (10)
Away
44.0% (266)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Paquette
Roy
P1
42.0%
33.3%
P2
47.6%
66.7%
P3
51.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |