Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Roy 48.9% (-19.0%)
Offensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Paquette
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
49.5% (746)
-19.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.7% (75)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
42.7% (110)
-16.0%
On power play, Paquette has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Paquette
Roy
Home
28.1% (32)
47.7% (491)
Away
30.6% (72)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Paquette
Roy
P1
36.4%
51.1%
P2
27.9%
44.6%
P3
25.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
30.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%