Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Paquette leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 50.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 53.5%
Neutral zone
Paquette 50.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Paquette
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Paquette
Roy
Last 10: Paquette 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
1
Paquette
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Paquette
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
48.7% (3,719)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
49.5% (283)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
45.5% (477)
-3.0%
On power play, Paquette has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Paquette
Roy
Home
50.2% (1,541)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Paquette
Roy
P1
49.1%
50.8%
P2
49.9%
46.3%
P3
47.5%
48.1%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |