Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Roy 48.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 50.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 77.4%
Neutral zone
Paquette 53.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Paquette
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Paquette
Roy
Last 8: Paquette 5-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
1
Paquette
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Paquette
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
50.6% (176)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
37.5% (8)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
11.1% (9)
+35.6%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Roy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Paquette
Roy
Home
51.9% (339)
50.0% (88)
Away
49.6% (282)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Paquette
Roy
P1
52.7%
57.7%
P2
53.1%
46.6%
P3
47.1%
39.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |