Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Gagner 47.5% (-16.9%)
Offensive zone
Paquette 55.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 66.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Paquette
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
51.3% (158)
-21.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (36)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
33.6% (110)
-6.9%
On power play, Paquette has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Paquette
Gagner
Home
28.1% (32)
53.2% (154)
Away
30.6% (72)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Paquette
Gagner
P1
36.4%
35.6%
P2
27.9%
52.7%
P3
25.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
30.0%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%