Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 81.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 71.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Paquette
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paquette
Gagner
Last 6: Paquette 2-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
4
Paquette
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
51.5% (928)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
35.0% (226)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Paquette
Gagner
Home
50.2% (1,541)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Paquette
Gagner
P1
49.1%
44.6%
P2
49.9%
46.1%
P3
47.5%
47.3%
OT
20.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |