Chandler Stephenson vs Connor Bedard
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Bedard 46.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 75.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 77.9%
Neutral zone
Bedard 73.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Stephenson
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Stephenson
Bedard
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
5
Stephenson
Bedard
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
5
Stephenson
Bedard
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
44.2% (450)
+7.9%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
70.0% (30)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
53.8% (13)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Bedard
Home
53.1% (672)
50.7% (223)
Away
51.1% (554)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Stephenson
Bedard
P1
54.6%
40.8%
P2
51.3%
48.2%
P3
51.2%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |