Chandler Stephenson vs Connor Bedard
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Bedard 40.7% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 79.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 63.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 71.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Stephenson
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stephenson
Bedard
Last 5: Stephenson 3-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
2
Stephenson
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
38.9% (512)
+12.7%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
43.8% (16)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
25.0% (4)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Bedard
Home
52.5% (499)
40.2% (246)
Away
52.6% (551)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Stephenson
Bedard
P1
50.2%
39.9%
P2
55.7%
38.5%
P3
50.9%
39.0%
OT
63.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | OT | 01:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |