Chandler Stephenson vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Bedard 41.3% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 76.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 75.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 77.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Stephenson
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Stephenson
Bedard
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
8
Stephenson
Bedard
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
5
Stephenson
Bedard
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
40.1% (1,580)
+11.8%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
51.9% (77)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
50.0% (24)
-4.3%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,650).
Stephenson shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Bedard
Home
52.6% (3,827)
43.3% (785)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Stephenson
Bedard
P1
51.6%
39.0%
P2
52.4%
40.7%
P3
52.8%
42.6%
OT
57.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 27, 2023 | OT | 01:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |