Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Zacha
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.0%). Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Zacha 51.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 60.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 62.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Stephenson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stephenson
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
53.3% (646)
-1.2%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
53.0% (100)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
38.9% (72)
+1.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zacha
Home
53.1% (672)
51.7% (410)
Away
51.1% (554)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Stephenson
Zacha
P1
54.6%
57.7%
P2
51.3%
48.9%
P3
51.2%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |