Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Zacha
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 54.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Stephenson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Zacha
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Stephenson
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Stephenson
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
53.9% (787)
-2.3%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
63.2% (193)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
44.3% (88)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zacha
Home
52.5% (499)
56.7% (538)
Away
52.6% (551)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Stephenson
Zacha
P1
50.2%
52.6%
P2
55.7%
54.8%
P3
50.9%
56.8%
OT
63.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |