Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Zacha
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 65.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Stephenson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stephenson
Zacha
Last 7: Stephenson 4-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Stephenson
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
54.1% (534)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
56.0% (109)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
44.8% (96)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zacha
Home
52.2% (751)
53.4% (406)
Away
51.0% (723)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Stephenson
Zacha
P1
50.4%
56.8%
P2
51.5%
53.6%
P3
53.3%
49.2%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |