Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Nosek 46.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 82.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 89.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 74.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Stephenson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephenson
Nosek
Last 5: Stephenson 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
48.5% (66)
+3.6%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
100.0% (1)
-38.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
29.6% (27)
+10.3%
On power play, Nosek has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nosek
Home
53.1% (672)
44.0% (25)
Away
51.1% (554)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Stephenson
Nosek
P1
54.6%
46.4%
P2
51.3%
34.2%
P3
51.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |