Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 62.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Stephenson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stephenson
Nosek
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Stephenson
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
54.9% (2,674)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
44.7% (47)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
47.4% (424)
-1.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nosek
Home
52.6% (3,827)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Stephenson
Nosek
P1
51.6%
52.3%
P2
52.4%
54.0%
P3
52.8%
54.6%
OT
57.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |