Chandler Stephenson vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 75.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 75.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 72.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Stephenson
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Stephenson
Karlsson
Last 6: Stephenson 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Stephenson
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Stephenson
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Stephenson
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
58.6% (597)
-7.4%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
57.9% (57)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
51.9% (52)
-4.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Karlsson
Home
52.2% (751)
59.6% (344)
Away
51.0% (723)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Stephenson
Karlsson
P1
50.4%
53.1%
P2
51.5%
62.1%
P3
53.3%
60.1%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |