Chandler Stephenson vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 54.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Stephenson
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Stephenson
Karlsson
Last 7: Stephenson 2-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
5
Stephenson
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Stephenson
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Stephenson
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
51.8% (7,849)
+0.1%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
54.8% (1,048)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
44.2% (1,109)
+1.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Karlsson
Home
52.6% (3,827)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Stephenson
Karlsson
P1
51.6%
50.3%
P2
52.4%
51.3%
P3
52.8%
52.4%
OT
57.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |